Last Week: 2/3 Winning Bets = +£36
Overall Success Rate = 5 out of 15 bets
Overall Profit: £100.10
I’m feeling good. Last night, painful as it was to watch Liverpool have a barnstorming night in Europe, I did enjoy predicting – to the minute, no less – both of the crucial last two goals. Again, I didn’t actually place any money on it, but I’m getting better at calling matches. One thing that anyone can predict is that Klopp will get more our of his players than most managers, especially the saggy Dutchman who shall not be named, and I suppose I can’t begrudge the Scousers their night in the sun when they produced such an exhilarating performance.
This week I am also on Russian Football News Betting Advice duty, so for the sake of variety I have a special treat for you – a dip into the world of FNL (Russia’s second tier) trebles. I will even be at the Tyumen – Shinnik match to live tweet for those of you sad enough to take any notice, but there is some amazing value to be found in some of these matches. Last week saw another successful week as I smashed the treble on Zenit, CSKA and Rubin with a collective goal difference of +11 and over 3.5 goals between Krasnodar and Ural (Smolov bagged four himself in a 6-0 romp), bringing in a healthy profit of £36, so you’re catching me at a good time…
Bet 1 Friday 15 April, Saturday 16 April & Monday 18 April
TREBLE on Mordovia to draw with Amkar, Zenit to beat Spartak & Ural to beat Rubin, £10 @ 57/5
Potential Return: £114
Let’s not beat around the bush: my trebles are on fire at the moment. Which probably means I’m setting myself up for a spectacular defeat this time, but what the hell – if you can’t enjoy your success, what’s the point? Anyway, there is good value this week as many matches are more closely matched than last week, but Mordovia v Amkar is an intriguing one in my books. Yes, the home side are coming off the back of a 7-1 thrashing, and yes, their manager left under uncertain circumstances, but they have drawn more than anyone bar Terek and Kuban and are back in Saransk this week. Amkar are terrible scorers, and have won just two on their travels all season, so a point suits both.
The Derby of Two Cities is the glamorous tie of the weekend, with some spectacular attacking talent on show, and with one of the most successful visiting sides in Spartak. Dmitry Kombarov is missing through suspension at left back, which means yet another defensive reshuffle by Dmitry Alenichev is likely, which will play into Hulk and Artyom Dzyuba’s hands perfectly. The best value of the three however is 17/10 for Ural to beat Rubin at home; granted, the visitors are in decent form on the pitch, if not in the results column, but Ural are an explosive outfit at home, winning four of the last six at home and scoring at least three on five occassions. The overall treble returns are impressive; go on, have a punt!
Bet 2 Sunday 17 April
Kuban v Rostov DRAW, £10 @ 11/5
Potential Return: £32
Kuban are an odd side; they swing between announcing unpaid salaries for months, then presenting Felipe Santana as their glamorous signing. Oleg Mkrtchyan has announced his withdrawal of financial support so there might be a slight uncertainty in the long term over their ability to bring in quality players, but they caught the eye last weekend by leading 2-1 at half time in Moscow against Spartak, and have begun to edge towards safety with one defeat in the last four matches.
Rostov are perhaps even stranger. A club that survived the relegation playoffs last season has ‘done a Leicester‘ and is threatening to deny powerhouses like CSKA and Zenit the title – check out the Russian Football New podcast where we discuss their fairytale – all built on a foundation of practical defence. Only 28 goals scored all season tells one story, but a league-high 12 clean sheets tells another. away from home they have been quite solid but ultimately unconvincing, drawing 0-0 in their last two away games against Kuban’s direct rivals in the table, Anzhi and Amkar. A straight forward result, and good returns. Hopefully…
Bet 3 Sunday 17 April
TREBLE on Tyumen to beat Shinnik, Gazovik to beat Luch Energiya Vladivostok & Spartak II to beat Torpedo Armarvir, £10 @ 34/5
Potential Return: £78
This treble offers the best value of the lot in my opinion. There’s not a lot of point going into huge detail on the teams as I’m sure very few of you will have even heard of them, yet alone have a sounds knowledge of their squads and current form. What I will do, however, is assure you that Tyumen are on a great run at home, other than a blip against Arsenal Tula three weeks ago. Why? Because I missed the match of course, but I will be there on Sunday.
Gazovik, meanwhile, have been the clear league leaders for months now, and at 10/11 against Luch Energiya Vladivostok – a club in such dire straits they might not even make it to the end of the season still in existence – it is robbing candy from a baby. Yes, it is a long away trip, but they’ve won their last two matches away and have the league’s top scorer in Artem Delkin. Spartak Moscow II have stormed to within two points of the promotion playoff places, and have a host of supremely talented youngsters, so facing Valeriy Karpin’s relegation zone dwellers should be a simple match. Torpedo began the season failing to score for the first seven games, but have since recovered their form; even still, I can’t see them holding off Evgeniy Bushmanov’s exciting young team.