Last Week: 0/3 Winning Bets = -£30
Overall Success Rate: 5 out of 21
Overall Profit: £40.10
This week is a shorter edition as we approach the end of the season, but fear not – there are two more gameweeks over the next week or so to make up for last week’s absence of tips. Good times! If you haven’t had a look at the latest RPL table, do – it promises to be the most dramatic at both ends of the league. I’ve decided to ice out some relegation and promotion specials for this round of tips, and there is some serious value to be had.
Without further ado (and also because last week was not a major success…), here are the selections for this weekend.
Bet 1 TREBLE on Krylia to beat Ufa, Kuban to draw with Mordovia and Spartak to beat Dinamo, £10 @ 51/5
Potential Return: £110
Belgian Mexico ’86 World Cup star Frank Vercauteren has finally turned his Krylia’s season around after a dreadful run that had looked like relegating the Samara side, and they have now gone five games unbeaten. Ufa have formed some sort of recovery of their own, but their away form is still awful with three consecutive losses and no wins away from home since August. Kuban would be entertaining to watch for the their off field catastrophes if it weren’t so darkly serious; they will have a new acting head coach for the third match in succession, so will be happy to edge towards safety – or more importantly, to avoid losing ground to direct relegation rivals. Spartak meanwhile have the slimmest chance of European qualification, but they do have a habit of turning it on against their biggest rivals. Dinamo are critically close to the drop, and I can’t see them putting up any meaningful resistance.
Bet 2 Rubin v Krasnodar: Over 2.5 goals, Krasnodar to win, £10 @ 13/5
Potential Return: £36
Ah, my boy Fyodor Smolov… He is just one of those players who you want to see fulfill his potential, and after many years of chronic underachievement despite serious ability, he has finally arrived where he belongs; at the top table. Nine goals in his last five matches speaks for itself, and it is extremely likely he will continue this form his weekend. The best part for his teammates is that they are also chipping in to this phenomenal run they are on. Wanderson has come back from injury gradually but has hinted at his ability that saw him finish as joint-second top goalscorer last season.
Rubin are a perfectly capable side that rarely sit back, but they have had various injury problems in defence to deal with. They have nothing competitive to play for so there won’t be the same urgency for them as for Krasnodar, who have realistic hopes of snatching a Champions League spot.
Bet 3 Amkar v Ural: DRAW HT/FT, £10 @ 15/4
Potential Return: £47.50
The Urals Derby (don’t laugh – just because Perm and Ekaterinburg are nearly 200 miles apart, it actually makes it one of the closest clashes between different cities) is an unknown rivalry to most casual observers. It is the nearest thing both fans have to a meaningful battle, and if you believe the journalist sitting next to me at the last Ural home match with Tourrette’s, it can get violent.
In terms of both teams, there is more at risk for Amkar as they currently sit just 3 points above the relegation playoff zone, although there are too many teams struggling below them to realistically worry them. Ural have performed well to secure a mid table finish after escaping via the playoffs last season, but have the sole motivation of getting one over on their rivals. Classic tense derby material.